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http://p-ch.jp/
https://twitter.com/p_kouhou/statuse...42368825733120
http://gematsu.com/2013/09/atlus-ope...24-teaser-site
Some theories people have:
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If it is Persona 5, the only possible platforms would be PS3/360.
Why it won't be on the 3DS:
Development of the next Persona supposedly started around March 2010. If the game were made for the 3DS, they could reuse PS2 assets or assets from SMT:Strange Journey / SMTIV. There's no reason why it would take (assuming this releases in 2014) 4+ years to develop this game, especially considering the previous Persona timelines went P3 in 2006 -> P3FES in 2007 -> P4 in 2008. Not only that, but they've never released a persona game on the DS/3DS, and it certainly wouldn't make sense to make P4G for the Vita if they were working on a Persona 5 for the 3DS at the same time. That would be splitting your userbase instead of building a new one on a new platform.
Why it won't be on the PS4/Xbone:
The Playstation 3 came out in 2006, and Atlus then proceeded to release P3FES in 2007 and P4 in 2008. They are one of the last developers to move to a new console. Also, there was an interview when Catherine released that basically said the engine for that game was a "test" that aims to help the persona team for future games. It would make no sense for the Persona team to make Catherine, then have the Persona series skip gen 7 entirely and release a game for the PS4/Xbone.
Why it won't be on the PS3/PS4 aka up port (more proof that it won't be on the PS4):
IIRC, Atlus has never released a game on a platform in the first year of its life, and Atlus typically release games within a year of its announcement. The PS4 is coming out February of 2014, and since it's very unlikely for Atlus to release a PS4 game before February 2015, they wouldn't announce it in 2013. Furthermore, if you look at the announced JP PS4 games, even though many of them are PS3/PS4, they are actually games that typically would come out earlier in a console's generation. Yakuza Ishin mirrors Yakuza Kenzan which came out on PS3 only early on, and Dynasty Warriors 8 mirrors Dynasty Warriors 6 which came out on PS3/360 only early on. They are meant to be PS4 games that are also releasing on the PS3 because there is no PS4 userbase at launch. The Persona games, on the other hand, historically do not release early in a console's lifecycle and there have been no instances of up ports from Atlus.
Why it won't be on the Vita:
Every Persona game so far has first been released on a console and then ported to a handheld. P1 and P2 went from PSX->PSP, P3 went from PS2->PSP, and P4 went from PS2->Vita. It makes too much sense for Atlus to not do PS3->Vita for Persona 5, especially since they've built an audience for console mainline games with Catherine/Arena, and they've built an audience for console ports with P4Golden. Yes, SMT4 is a mainline and is on a handheld, but Atlus never ports mainline SMT games, and they have always ported (without exception) mainline Persona games, and it has always been from a Sony console to a Sony portable. Not to mention considering the long development times of Persona 5, and the small userbase of the Vita, it's very likely that a Vita-exclusive P5 would recoup development costs. We're talking roughly 80m PS3 versus 5m Vita worldwide, and 9.5m PS3 versus 1.8m Vita in Japan.
Why it won't be on the Wii U:
It's the Wii U.
PS3/Vita: Atlus always makes the mainline Persona on a console first, then port it over to a handheld years later with some additional content as a full game. This way they get to sell the same game twice with little additional development. It's extra money because people will double-dip whereas they would not double-dip if it's a day-and-date release on the PS3/Vita. Also, because the Vita is a relatively new system compared to the PS3, it would be better for sales to delay the Vita port so there's a larger userbase. Furthermore, if you look at large PS3 franchise entries such as Yakuza, Resident Evil, Final Fantasy, and Tales, none of them release day-and-date with the Vita. The only PS3 / Vita games tend to be 1. Yearly releases like Soccer games or Baseball games and 2. Games that are much more suited to the Vita like Toukiden that also have a PS3 release because they probably wouldn't sell enough on the Vita platform alone.
X360: Catherine was released on PS3/360 and Persona 4: Arena was also released on PS3/360
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